Fire Danger

Storm Prediction Center
SPC Fire Weather Outlooks
  1. SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
    Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook Image
    Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0126 PM CDT Sat Oct 16 2021
    
    Valid 171200Z - 181200Z
    
    ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
    
    The previous forecast remains on track. Sustained winds between
    15-25 mph appear likely Sunday afternoon from central southern CA
    northward into western and northwestern portions of the Great Basin.
    Outside of a few locations in south-central CA, fuels remain too
    unreceptive for a robust fire weather threat per recent analyses.
    Forecast concerns regarding north-central Montana and the southern
    High Plains remain valid as outlined in the previous discussion
    below.
    
    ..Moore.. 10/16/2021
    
    .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1246 AM CDT Sat Oct 16 2021/
    
    ...Synopsis...
    The upper-level ridge will shift into the central U.S. on Sunday. An
    upper-level trough will move into the Pacific Northwest and northern
    California by the end of the period. At the surface, flow across the
    southern Plains will return to southerly along the western flank of
    surface high. A cyclone will develop within the lee of the Canadian
    Rockies and increase winds ahead of it and its attendant cold front
    extending into the western Great Basin.
    
    Dry and windy conditions are probable within western/central Nevada
    and perhaps into southeastern Oregon. Fuels are not currently
    critically dry across those areas. Some potential for locally
    elevated conditions will again exist in north-central Montana. RH is
    expected to be lower than on Saturday, but the surface pressure
    gradient will also be weaker. Finally, dry southerly winds from a
    continental airmass may support a marginal increase in fire danger
    in parts of the southern High Plains. With confidence in winds above
    15 mph remaining low as well as much of the area receiving recent
    rainfall, highlights will be withheld here also.
    
    ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
    
    
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